Yarn Prices Are Eager To Rise, But It Needs Time To Trade Space
The spot price of cotton was adjusted, and there were few deals. The ex factory price of cotton picked up by Shandong and Hebei 3128 real estates was 15100-15300 yuan/ton gross weight, while the price of Xinjiang cotton in the mainland warehouse was higher, with the price of 16500-16800 yuan/ton above the double 29 level. The actual negotiation was slightly preferential, and the overall merchants' attitude of clearing inventory was mainly. The price of long staple cotton continues to be weak, and the 137 level sales price in the mainland warehouse is about 21500 yuan/ton.
In the morning, PTA futures fluctuated in a narrow range, polyester market was stable, polyester staple fiber was stabilized, Jiangsu and Zhejiang 1.4D direct spinning polyester staple fiber mainstream quotation was 7900-8350 yuan/ton, and the factory was different. At present, the negotiation is mainly about goods delivery, compared with mainstream negotiation or near the factory of 7850-8050 yuan/ton, some of them are slightly higher near the factory of 8100-8200 yuan/ton.
The gap between production and sales of viscose staple fiber manufacturers is large, and some manufacturers can continue to exceed the number of orders signed by them until the end of August. Some manufacturers have recently decreased their new products, and their inventory has shown a small upward trend, and their willingness to ship has increased. The price is roughly stable, the center of gravity of the middle end mainstream negotiation remains at 15700-15900 yuan/ton, the negotiation of some individual manufacturers is slightly loose, and the downstream still needs small orders. The high-end price performance is firm, and the price is 16100-16300 yuan/ton.
It is understood that since late July, the FOB and CNF (CIF) quotations of Indonesian yarn and Vietnamese yarn have stabilized on the whole, and the shipment status is unsatisfactory; The inquiry and transaction of yarns from India, Pakistan and Central Asia are now rebounding from the bottom. Weaving mills and middlemen are willing to make up inventory. The trading of imported OE7S-21S and C20S-32S baled and bleached yarns (especially those for jet and rapier looms) is oscillating and warming up. The confidence of downstream enterprises is gradually stabilizing. The shipment and arrival of Pakistan 8S-16S Sirospun are more active than in the earlier stage.
Today, the raw silk market in Guangxi continues to remain strong, and the focus of the rising price continues to move upward. The cocoon silk market has entered a high shock period again. The raw silk market rose 2300 to close 425800 at 093, with a total of 10 batches of transactions and 294 batches of positions. Recently, the cocoon silk market has gradually increased again. Supported by the high cost of raw materials, the price of cocoon silk has to some extent been pushed up, but there are not many inquiries from downstream manufacturers, and the sales atmosphere is light, The market lacks the support of trading volume, and it is expected that the price will still be adjusted mainly by strong shocks in the later period.
With the gradual improvement of the economic situation at home and abroad, the potential of the domestic demand market will be further released, and the results of industrial restructuring, transformation and upgrading will be further reflected. It is expected that the economic indicators of the silk industry are expected to stabilize and improve in the second half of the year. However, due to the increase of uncertain risk factors, it will be the focus of the future development of the industry to continue to promote the supply side reform of the industry and maintain the stable operation of the industry. The downside risk of the industry economy still needs continuous attention.
Recently, Qingdao Zhangjiagang , Ningbo and other main ports India OE16S, 21S, JC32S, 40S knitting futures yarn quoted 2.03 cents/pound, 2.12 cents/pound, 3.12 cents/pound, 3.42 cents/pound (CNF price, LC90 days), and now slowly reported the rising trend; Pakistan 8S and 10S Siro Spinning quoted 2.35 cents/pound and 2.38 cents/pound. Due to the low bonded stock at the port in the early stage and the increasing demand for denim in the near future, the sales of high-quality Siro Spinning yarn is expected to usher in the second spring. Some small and medium-sized yarn mills said that the impact of imported yarn on domestic yarn has been increasing since July. OE yarn, C32S and cotton yarn of less count stock It continued to rise, and the working capital became more and more heavily occupied, mainly as follows:
1、 Inside and outside Cotton yarn The price difference has shrunk in an all-round way, and the competitiveness of low count imported yarn has increased. According to the statistics, the RMB quotations for customs clearance of C21S, C32S Indian and Vietnamese yarns are mainly 21200-21400 yuan/ton and 23200-23400 yuan/ton; The quotation of domestic C32S yarn in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong, Henan and other places is also 23000 yuan/ton, and the range of internal and external yarn hanging upside down is reduced from 1200-1500 yuan/ton in May/June to 200-300 yuan/ton, which is very attractive to Chinese buyers.
2、 The quality advantage of imported low count yarn is gradually revealed. In May July, the cotton blending of OE yarn, C32S and below low count yarn in China was dominated by reserve cotton, local cotton and Xinjiang cotton of 2016/17 with low quality; Compared with Vietnam, India and Pakistan, the yarn has the disadvantages of low color grade, poor breaking strength and high spinning hairiness. The imported yarn is mainly American cotton, Australian cotton, Indian cotton, West African cotton and Central Asian cotton in 2016/17, with good cotton blending grade and quality, which to a certain extent makes up for the lack of skilled technology and manipulation.
3、 Imported yarn is easy to dye and package bleaching is more popular with weaving mills and middlemen. Compared with domestic yarn, the yarn from India, Pakistan, Indonesia, Vietnam and other places is easy to be colored and colored due to its thick fiber, low count and weak twist. Woven yarn is more suitable for Chinese enterprises; In addition, with the improvement of the requirements of foreign trade companies and incoming orders, the "three bags" of package bleaching, package dyeing and package weaving have almost become the standard configuration for buyers to purchase. By comparison, a large number of imported yarns, such as American cotton, Ukrainian cotton, Australian cotton (mainly of medium and low quality), and Central Asian cotton, can easily meet the requirements for receiving orders.
Pure cotton yarn showed a downward trend, C32S and other relative sales were OK, and the sales of rotor spinning also maintained a good trend, and other specifications were relatively light. The price of pure polyester yarn has declined steadily, and the transaction is average. The trading volume of T45S is slightly better than that of other specifications. The price of rayon yarn is relatively stable, and the transaction volume of R30S is large. The turnover of polyester cotton yarn is average. Some polyester viscose yarn prices are loose, and the transaction volume of T65/R3545S is slightly better. At present, the inventory of the cotton mill has been gradually increasing, mostly in about 25 days. The operating rate has been slightly reduced in some parts, and there is a phenomenon of production change depending on the sales of different specifications. The overall follow-up of orders in the later stage is not good, and the manufacturer has insufficient confidence in the future market.
Pure cotton yarn declined partially due to poor sales. A factory in Henan offered to deliver the yarn at 27000 yuan/ton, down 100-200 yuan/ton from last week. It is reported that due to the impact of environmental protection quotas in some regions, the supply of rotor spinning raw materials is tight, and there is a phenomenon of goods grabbing. The price has increased by 300-500 yuan/ton. Also, due to the impact of rising raw materials, the domestic production cost of rotor spinning has been higher than the price of imported yarn, which supports the recent price of rotor spinning. The price of pure polyester yarn in Changyi, Shandong has declined. The original white quality optimization 32S was quoted 13000-15000 yuan/ton for short delivery, and the pure black 32S was quoted 12500 yuan/ton for short delivery. The current demand is general.
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